California is about to vote on a plan to tax billionaires, hoping to raise about a hundred billion dollars. But something pretty incredible has already happened. Something that their analysts, they never even expected. And the crazy part is that the tax, it hasn't even passed yet. Now, this is the same pattern. We're seeing it all over the world. And this matters to you because, you know, whether you even have enough tax to be wealth taxed like the wealthy do, the wealth that they're proposing or not,
it's going to affect you either way. Now, I think we're going to see more of these types of taxes. So, in this video, I want to show you what's actually going on in California, what's happening. I want to show you the one assumption I think they're getting dangerously wrong. And I want to show you what we're seeing in California. We're seeing across the world. We're seeing it in in UK and even here in Portugal where I'm at could change the way you think about
protecting your wealth. You ready? Let's go. All right. So, let's get into this video. And uh it's a fitting video for me while I'm here. I'm in Portugal right now. I'm out here on the coastline uh doing some surfing, a little bit of vacation. And uh it's interesting because Portugal has a golden visa program which is to attract people with money, tax refugees if we'll call them. Let's talk about taxes for a minute. October 2025 um in California, the California Healthcare Union proposed a
one-time tax, just one time, don't worry, onetime tax of 5% of billionaires wealth, their entire wealth, whether it's been realized or not. A lot of these billionaires in California, they own businesses like Jeff Bezos owns Amazon or Elon Musk owns Tesla. Like it's not like it's money in his account they want to take. They want to take his company that he owns. Okay, so um they said they want to do that. They said that uh it was going to be retroactive if if it passes anybody that was there
as of January 1st and it has a very low chance of going through. But check this out. Here's the assumption. California assumed that if they did this 5% tax on the billionaire's wealth, they would be able to raise about $100 billion. And of course, that billion dollars is going to go to again Medicare, healthcare, things like that. Now, this is on the spreadsheet. This is the bean counters. This is people that don't understand that there's an actual real world out there, and they were caught off guard.
I'm going to break it down for you. But what they assumed is that some taxpayers would leave. They assumed that less than 10% would leave the state of California. Why? Well, cuz I live in California. It's the most beautiful place in the world. So, why would they want to leave that? Well, if you push them hard enough, maybe they will. They assumed for 10% of the people to leave. Now, they thought they were being clever also with this retroactive piece because it was going through so quickly and it
hasn't even got through yet. They thought that there was no way that billionaires could leave in such a short period of time. So, they thought that they thought they can catch him off guard. Hey, we're going to pass it, make it retroactive. We've only given them a couple months. There's no way a billionaire can move in a couple months. And so they're going to get caught in this, right? Well, as it turns out, no. The billionaires made very quick decisions. As a matter of fact,
California lost a lot of billionaires. Now, again, like this is very real for me. Uh, as I live in California, we've gone to Puerto Rico. We went to Puerto Rico. They have a very special tax program over there. We've moved there for taxes. Again, here I'm in Portugal. Um, I worked with a company that was uh helping people set up these golden visas in Portugal. And so recruiting taxpayers is a really big deal. When taxes change, people make real life decisions. Now, let me tell you what happened. Now, with
the billionaires leaving faster than they expected, California has now lost over $577 billion. Now, check this out. They thought they were going to gain a hundred billion. That's not the case. some of the billionaires that have already left California, the Google founders, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, uh Peter Teal, um Steven Spielberg, who's a, you know, huge left liberal advocate, uh David Sachs, turns out none of them want to have their wealth confiscated from them. And so they showed only 10%,
well, the analyst told them that only 10% would leave. And so far, what we know about over 28% of the billionaires have already left. Now, this is what we already know about. This is people who have made big announcements of this. I'm sure a lot of people have probably left quietly. So, it's probably well over 30%. So, $577 billion has already left. Now, where does this leave the forecast? They're hoping to raise a h 100red billion. Well, now they're expecting to only bring in about 28 to 36 billion of
the hundred billion they hope for. That's what they hope. And some of you might listen, well, at least they have the 26 or the 36 billion. Well, not really because that was a one-time tax. These people that left, the billionaires that left were residents of the state and they paid this tax every single year. The authors of this bill estimate that California billionaires were paying 3.3 to 5.8 billion per year in annual taxes. That's gone. So, while they get a one-time windfall of 28 billion, they're
losing 3 to 6 billion every single year. They assume that there's maybe another 2 billion that's going to be lost on top of that. And so the net present value of this bill is a lost income stream of 68.9 billion. So they've lost almost 70 billion from this on a bill that has only in the betting markets about a 23% chance of even going through. So when you add it up that yes they get the 30 if this even goes through. They have a 30 billion onetime tax windfall but they're losing 69 billion in present
value of lost future income taxes. Again, the betting markets look like this is not going to go through about a 23% chance. So, what happens if it doesn't pass? Do these billionaires come back? No, they don't come back. Do the businesses that have left come back? No, of course not. California is still going to end up losing over 577 billion dollars of wealth that's already gone. They've permanently poisoned the well for entrepreneurs who who now have to worry about what the potential of future
wealth taxes could be. So, what entrepreneur wants to build an estate that has already told them that they intend to steal part of their wealth? What what person would want to move to the state and set up businesses and build wealth in a state that's already told them that they want to steal their wealth? And of course, the answer is very few. They've poisoned the well. And so, not only have they lost that amount of wealth today on a bill that's probably not even go through, but they
poison the well. Now, the bigger question is, is your home next? Because this is happening in New York, it's happening in California, but it's happening all around the world. And so, for example, in the UK, the UK continues to increase wealth taxes. The UK has lost 16,500 millionaires in 2025. 16,500 millionaires left because unlike how unlike America and other countries, you could leave and get out of taxes altogether. And so, a lot of these these are going to Dubai where Dubai has no income tax, for example. And you have
beautiful services. You have safe streets you can walk around. The streets uh you know are nice and things like that. So, 16,500 have left. But here's the problem. You have the billionaires leaving California, have 16,500 millionaires leaving the UK, but the bills stay, the welfare state continues to grow, the revenue disappears, the bills go up. And so the question, while I'm here in Portugal having fun on vacation, and as I said, thinking about the golden visas that are available, there's places that are attracting you
and there's places that are trying to drive you away. The choice is yours where you want to stay. Let me know what you think in the comments down below. Uh, is this something that you're thinking about or is something on your radar or are you just going to suck it up and stay there? Let me know in the comments down below. As I always say, to your success, I'm out.